Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.039525 0.043025 0.046556 0.050382 0.054402 0.058496 0.062972
2025-09-21 0.034123 0.039306 0.044719 0.050768 0.057314 0.064163 0.071844
2025-09-28 0.030766 0.037255 0.044234 0.052240 0.061114 0.070596 0.081442
2025-10-05 0.026762 0.034055 0.042125 0.051614 0.062365 0.074075 0.087700
2025-10-12 0.023902 0.031842 0.040860 0.051697 0.064211 0.078062 0.094409
2025-10-19 0.021846 0.030352 0.040244 0.052362 0.066585 0.082544 0.101601
2025-10-26 0.020288 0.029305 0.040020 0.053373 0.069270 0.087317 0.109087
2025-11-02 0.017504 0.026529 0.037534 0.051532 0.068475 0.087971 0.111754
2025-11-09 0.015731 0.024889 0.036317 0.051108 0.069265 0.090391 0.116404
2025-11-16 0.014197 0.023440 0.035237 0.050764 0.070075 0.092778 0.120971
2025-11-23 0.013581 0.023170 0.035618 0.052206 0.073038 0.097712 0.128542
2025-11-30 0.012871 0.022713 0.035714 0.053256 0.075497 0.102034 0.135389
2025-12-07 0.012002 0.022001 0.035465 0.053881 0.077470 0.105837 0.141717
2025-12-14 0.011050 0.021103 0.034919 0.054088 0.078902 0.108981 0.147270
2025-12-21 0.010605 0.020918 0.035322 0.055524 0.081885 0.114032 0.155147
2025-12-28 0.009490 0.019640 0.034152 0.054825 0.082111 0.115665 0.158864
2026-01-04 0.008712 0.018824 0.033581 0.054889 0.083285 0.118454 0.163983
2026-01-11 0.008184 0.018362 0.033483 0.055569 0.085241 0.122208 0.170283
2026-01-18 0.007798 0.018104 0.033661 0.056613 0.087667 0.126553 0.177324
2026-01-25 0.006653 0.016476 0.031748 0.054698 0.086147 0.125885 0.178130
2026-02-01 0.005983 0.015605 0.030918 0.054257 0.086547 0.127626 0.181912
2026-02-08 0.005390 0.014817 0.030171 0.053898 0.087031 0.129457 0.185797
2026-02-15 0.005253 0.014865 0.030718 0.055397 0.090026 0.134518 0.193755